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steel-manning

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Steel-Manning Campaign — adversarial verification of convergence decisions through resurrection advocacy, winner stress-testing, criteria interrogation, and multi-perspective attack using Devil's Advocacy, Pre-mortem, Red Teaming, Dialectical Inquiry methods.

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Steel-Manning

Adversarial verification of convergence decisions. This campaign subjects winners, criteria, and rejected alternatives to rigorous challenge — ensuring that final decisions survive the strongest possible counter-arguments rather than merely the weakest objections.

The campaign deploys four complementary attack vectors: resurrecting rejected candidates to test whether elimination was justified, stress-testing winners to find hidden weaknesses, interrogating the criteria framework itself, and simulating stakeholder objections for political feasibility.

Strategy Routing

SignalStrategy
resurrect rejected candidates / give losers a fair hearingresurrection-advocacy
stress-test the winner / find weaknesses in top pickwinner-stress-testing
challenge the criteria themselves / meta-level questioningcriteria-interrogation
simulate stakeholder objections / political feasibilitystakeholder-objection-simulation
construct strongest counter-argument / dialectical challengecounter-thesis-construction

Manifest

Strategies

StrategyMethod Lineage
resurrection-advocacyDevil's Advocacy, Dialectical Inquiry, Adversarial Collaboration (Kahneman)
winner-stress-testingPre-mortem (Klein), Red Teaming, Failure Mode Analysis
criteria-interrogationAssumption-based Planning, Critical Systems Heuristics, Boundary Critique
stakeholder-objection-simulationRole-play, Stakeholder Analysis, Political Feasibility
counter-thesis-constructionDialectical Inquiry, Thesis-Antithesis-Synthesis, Adversarial Debate

Tactics

TacticSOPs Used
adversarial-debate-protocoladvocate-construction, critic-attack, judge-verdict
assumption-excavationassumption-extraction, assumption-challenge, conclusion-sensitivity
multi-perspective-attackperspective-assignment, perspective-attack, steel-manning-synthesis

SOPs

SOPInputOutputShareable
advocate-constructionrejected_candidate, contextstrongest_case_for_resurrectionvalidation
critic-attackwinner, advocate_caseattack_arguments[], severity_ratingsvalidation
judge-verdictadvocate_case, critic_attacksverdict, reasoning, conditionsvalidation
assumption-extractiondecision, evidenceassumptions[], confidence_levels—
assumption-challengeassumptionchallenge_argument, alternative, impact_if_wrong—
conclusion-sensitivityassumptions[], challenges[]sensitivity_map, critical_assumptions[]—
perspective-assignmentdecision, stakeholdersperspective_briefs[]—
perspective-attackdecision, perspective_briefattacks[], constructive_alternatives[]—
steel-manning-synthesisall_attacks, all_verdictsfinal_verdict, surviving_concerns, modifications—

Budget Table (M Tier)

MetricMinimum
Attack perspectives>= 3 distinct angles
Debate rounds>= 2 per contested decision
Assumptions challenged>= 5 per winner
Final verdictExplicit ACCEPT / REJECT / REVISE with evidence

MCP Tools

  • mcp__wiki-vault__vault_search — retrieve prior decisions and context
  • mcp__wiki-vault__vault_query_graph — trace dependency chains for impact analysis
  • mcp__wiki-vault__vault_add_edge — record challenge relationships

Context Management

The campaign maintains a Challenge Ledger tracking:

  • Which decisions have been challenged
  • Attack vectors applied to each
  • Verdicts rendered and their conditions
  • Surviving concerns requiring monitoring

State is passed between strategies via the ledger. Each strategy updates it upon completion.

Available Strategies

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

StrategyWhen to use
counter-thesis-constructionConstruct the strongest possible counter-argument to the convergence decision using Dialectical Inquiry and Thesis-Antithesis-Synthesis methods.
criteria-interrogationChallenge the evaluation criteria themselves using Assumption-based Planning, Critical Systems Heuristics, and Boundary Critique to ensure the framework is sound.
resurrection-advocacyArgue for rejected candidates using Devil's Advocacy, Dialectical Inquiry, and Adversarial Collaboration to ensure elimination was justified.
stakeholder-objection-simulationSimulate stakeholder objections through role-play and political feasibility analysis to test whether the decision survives real-world opposition.
winner-stress-testingStress-test the winning candidate using Pre-mortem, Red Teaming, and Failure Mode Analysis to expose hidden weaknesses before commitment.

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOPWhen to use
context-checkpointAppend research process and results to the current Phase's context file. Each append MUST contain >=500 lines of markdown covering both process and results. Use this skill at plan-designated checkpoint points — typically after each strategy completes or at key decision nodes within a research Phase.
context-initCreate a new context file for a research Phase. Called once at Phase start to initialize the file that subsequent context-checkpoint calls will append to. Use this skill whenever a new research Phase begins and a fresh context file is needed.
convergence-multi-stakeholder-simulationSimulates diverse stakeholder perspectives and their strongest objections/support arguments. Shared across steel-manning and consensus campaigns.
convergence-saturation-detectionDetermines when to stop iterating — coverage threshold met or marginal returns diminishing. Shared across all campaigns.
convergence-sensitivity-analysisTests conclusion robustness by perturbing parameters and observing rank changes. Shared across scoring, portfolio, and steel-manning campaigns.