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robustness-checks

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Sequential robustness checks in Stata with confounder blocks

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Source SKILL.md: https://github.com/brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills/blob/HEAD/skills/43-wentorai-research-plugins/skills/analysis/econometrics/robustness-checks/SKILL.md

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Robustness Checks

A skill for conducting sequential robustness checks in Stata, systematically adding blocks of potential confounders to assess estimate stability.

Quick Start

* Base model
svy: regress outcome controls treatment
estimates store m1

* Add confounder block
svy: regress outcome controls treatment confounder1 confounder2
estimates store m2

* Compare
esttab m1 m2, se star(+ 0.1 * 0.05 ** 0.01)

Key Patterns

1. Sequential Model Building

* Define base controls
local control_var i.batch age i.race i.gender i.education
estimates clear

* Model 1: Base model
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m1

* Model 2: Add contextual factors
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment covid health_insurance
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m2

* Model 3: Add health factors
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment cci_charlson any_encounter
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m3

* Model 4: Add psychological factors
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment depression anxiety
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m4

* Model 5: Add behavioral factors
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment i.smoke_status bmi
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m5

2. Standard Robustness Check Template

*------------------------------------------------------------
* Table: Robustness Checks
*------------------------------------------------------------
version 17
clear all
use "analysis_data.dta", clear
svyset cluster [pweight = weight]

* Base controls (always included)
local control_var i.batch leukocytes age i.race i.gender i.education i.marital
estimates clear

*--- Model 1: Baseline ---
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m1

*--- Model 2: + COVID & Insurance ---
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment covid health_insurance
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m2

*--- Model 3: + Healthcare utilization ---
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment cci_charlson any_encounter_3years
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m3

*--- Model 4: + Multimorbidity ---
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment multi_morbidity
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m4

*--- Model 5: + Psychosocial factors ---
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment matter_important matter_depend
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m5

*--- Model 6: + Occupation ---
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment i.occ_group
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m6

*--- Model 7: + Smoking ---
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment i.smoke_status
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m7

*--- Model 8: + Childhood adversity ---
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment c.aces_sum_std
margins, dydx(treatment) post
estimates store m8

*--- Export ---
esttab m1 m2 m3 m4 m5 m6 m7 m8 using "robustness.csv", csv se ///
  mtitle("Base" "+COVID" "+Health" "+Morbid" "+Psych" "+Occ" "+Smoke" "+ACE") ///
  nogap label replace star(+ 0.1 * 0.05 ** 0.01)

3. Multiple Outcomes

* Repeat for each outcome
foreach outcome in pace grimage2 phenoage {
  estimates clear

  svy: regress `outcome' `control_var' treatment
  margins, dydx(treatment) post
  estimates store `outcome'_m1

  svy: regress `outcome' `control_var' treatment covid health_insurance
  margins, dydx(treatment) post
  estimates store `outcome'_m2

  svy: regress `outcome' `control_var' treatment cci_charlson any_encounter
  margins, dydx(treatment) post
  estimates store `outcome'_m3
}

* Export all
esttab pace_m1 pace_m2 pace_m3 grimage2_m1 grimage2_m2 grimage2_m3 ///
  using "robustness_all.csv", csv se nogap label replace

4. Model Specification Checks

estimates clear

* Linear specification
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment
estimates store linear

* Logged outcome
gen log_outcome = ln(outcome + 1)
svy: regress log_outcome `control_var' treatment
estimates store log_linear

* Categorical treatment
svy: regress outcome `control_var' i.treatment_cat
estimates store categorical

* With squared term
svy: regress outcome `control_var' c.treatment##c.treatment
estimates store quadratic

esttab linear log_linear categorical quadratic using "spec_checks.csv", ///
  csv se nogap label replace

5. Sample Restriction Checks

estimates clear

* Full sample
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment
estimates store full

* Exclude outliers
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment if outcome < p99_outcome
estimates store no_outliers

* Complete cases only
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment if complete_case == 1
estimates store complete

* Subpopulation
svy, subpop(if age >= 50): regress outcome `control_var' treatment
estimates store age50plus

esttab full no_outliers complete age50plus using "sample_checks.csv", ///
  csv se nogap label replace

6. Alternative Variable Definitions

estimates clear

* Binary treatment
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment_binary
margins, dydx(treatment_binary) post
estimates store binary

* Continuous treatment
svy: regress outcome `control_var' treatment_continuous
margins, dydx(treatment_continuous) post
estimates store continuous

* Categorical treatment
svy: regress outcome `control_var' i.treatment_cat
margins, dydx(treatment_cat) post
estimates store categorical

* Standardized treatment
svy: regress outcome `control_var' c.treatment_std
margins, dydx(treatment_std) post
estimates store standardized

esttab binary continuous categorical standardized using "alt_definitions.csv", ///
  csv se nogap label replace

Interpretation Guide

ResultInterpretation
Estimate stable across modelsRobust to confounding
Estimate attenuates with additionsConfounding present
Estimate reverses signSerious confounding concern
Estimate strengthensSuppression effect
SE increases substantiallyMulticollinearity

Tips

  • Start with theoretically-motivated confounder blocks
  • Order blocks from most to least plausible confounders
  • Document the rationale for each block
  • Present all models, not just the "best" one
  • Watch for substantial increases in standard errors (multicollinearity)
  • Consider pre-registering the robustness check plan