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nansen-polymarket-insider-scan

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Scan a resolved Polymarket market for wallets exhibiting suspicious trading patterns: fresh funding, single-market focus, extreme ROI, late entry at high prices.

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How to use this skill

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  1. Open your project in Codex.
  2. Copy the prompt below and paste it into your agent.
  3. Review the proposed files and risks before you approve installation.
Prompt to paste
I want to install this Agent Skill for this project in Codex.

Source SKILL.md: https://github.com/nansen-ai/nansen-cli/blob/HEAD/skills/nansen-polymarket-insider-scan/SKILL.md

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First, summarize what it does, its dependencies, license status if identifiable, and any risks. Show the exact files you propose to add under .agents/skills/nansen-polymarket-insider-scan/. Do not write files or run scripts until I approve.

After I approve, install the complete skill folder, including required referenced files, into that project location. Verify it is discoverable, then tell me its actual invocation name and how to use it. Do not claim it is installed until you have verified it.

Copying this prompt does not install or run the skill. Review third-party files before use. Codex skill guide

PM Suspicious Wallet Scanner

Answers: "Are there wallets with suspicious trading patterns in this Polymarket market?"

# 1. Find the resolved market
nansen research prediction-market market-screener --query "<market name>" --status closed --limit 5
# → market_id, question, volume, last_trade_price

# 2. Get top winners (positive PnL) — paginate if needed, keep per_page <= 10
MID=<market_id>
nansen research prediction-market pnl-by-market --market-id $MID --limit 10
# → address (proxy), owner_address (wallet), side_held, net_buy_cost_usd, total_pnl_usd

# 3. For each top winner, run these three calls (use proxy address for PM, owner for profiler):
PROXY=<address_from_pnl>
nansen research prediction-market trades-by-address --address $PROXY --limit 100
# → market_id, market_question, side, price, size, usdc_value, taker_action, timestamp

OWNER=<owner_address_from_pnl>
nansen research profiler historical-balances --address $OWNER --chain polygon --days 365 --sort block_timestamp:asc --limit 100
# → block_timestamp, value_usd, token_symbol — first non-zero value_usd = wallet funding date

nansen research profiler labels --address $OWNER --chain polygon
# → label, category

For each winner, compute ROI = total_pnl_usd / net_buy_cost_usd * 100 (skip ROI flags if net_buy_cost_usd <= 0), then score (0–13). Within each tier group, apply only the highest matching flag:

FlagPtsTrigger
NEW_WALLET3First funded within 7 days of now
YOUNG_WALLET1First funded 8–28 days ago (skip if NEW_WALLET fires)
SINGLE_MARKET3trades-by-address shows only 1 distinct market_id
FEW_MARKETS12–3 distinct market_ids (skip if SINGLE_MARKET fires)
EXTREME_ROI3ROI >= 500%
HIGH_ROI2ROI 200–499% (skip if EXTREME_ROI fires)
LATE_ENTRY2Any trade on this market at price >= 0.80
LARGE_POSITION2net_buy_cost_usd >= $10k
KNOWN_ENTITY-2Has Nansen labels

Flagged at score >= 3. High risk at >= 7. High-confidence suspicious pattern: NEW_WALLET + SINGLE_MARKET + EXTREME_ROI (score 9+).

If owner_address is invalid (e.g. "0x"), use the proxy address for profiler calls too. If historical-balances returns no records with value_usd > 0, the wallet may predate the 365-day window — treat wallet age as unknown and skip NEW_WALLET / YOUNG_WALLET flags. Pause ~1.5s between wallets to avoid rate limits. Skip wallets that error and continue scanning.