discrepancy-analysis

Research

Identify discrepancies between reported and reproducible scores — 15 methods, 45 data points, 30 web searches budget

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Discrepancy Analysis

Purpose

Detect inconsistencies between scores reported in original papers versus third-party reproductions, leaderboard entries, and ablation studies. Flags methods with suspicious performance claims, identifies common sources of score inflation, and assesses the reliability of reported baselines.

Budget

Resource	Floor	Target
Methods analyzed	10	15
Data points compared	30	45
Web searches	20	30
Reproduction studies consulted	5	10

State Ledger

<HARD-GATE>
| Metric | Current | Target | Status |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|
| Methods analyzed | 0 | 15 | BLOCKED |
| Score pairs compared | 0 | 45 | BLOCKED |
| Discrepancies flagged | 0 | — | — |
| Reproduction studies found | 0 | 10 | — |
| Reliability ratings assigned | 0 | 15 | — |
</HARD-GATE>

Cannot exit until score_pairs_compared >= 36 (80% of target).

Available Tactics

leaderboard-harvesting — Collect multiple sources for cross-validation

Available SOPs

discrepancy-identification — Compare same-method scores across sources
reproducibility-checklist-audit — Assess paper reproducibility completeness

Execution Guidance

For each method, collect scores from multiple independent sources
Use discrepancy-identification SOP to flag significant deviations
Search for reproduction studies, blog posts, and issue trackers
Apply reproducibility-checklist-audit to papers with large discrepancies
Categorize discrepancy sources (data leakage, cherry-picked seeds, unfair baselines)
Assign reliability ratings to each method's reported scores
Document which baselines in the field are trustworthy vs. inflated

Output Format

{
  "discrepancies": [
    {
      "method": "string",
      "dataset": "string",
      "metric": "string",
      "reported_score": 0.0,
      "reproduced_score": 0.0,
      "delta": 0.0,
      "delta_significant": true,
      "likely_cause": "string",
      "sources": ["string"]
    }
  ],
  "reliability_ratings": [
    {
      "method": "string",
      "rating": "high|medium|low|unreliable",
      "reproducibility_checklist_score": 0,
      "notes": "string"
    }
  ],
  "systematic_issues": [
    {
      "issue": "string",
      "affected_methods": ["string"],
      "prevalence": "string"
    }
  ]
}

Available Tactics

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

Tactic	When to use
leaderboard-harvesting	Systematically collect performance data from platforms and papers

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOP	When to use
discrepancy-identification	Compare same-method scores across sources, flag significant deviations
reproducibility-checklist-audit	Assess paper completeness against ML Reproducibility Checklist