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a-share-structural-break

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A股结构变点检测/趋势拐点识别。当用户说"结构变点"、"structural break"、"拐点"、"趋势改变"、"什么时候变了"、"Chow检验"时触发。量化检测价格序列的结构性变化。支持formal和brief风格。

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How to use this skill

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  2. Copy the prompt below and paste it into your agent.
  3. Review the proposed files and risks before you approve installation.
Prompt to paste
I want to install this Agent Skill for this project in Codex.

Source SKILL.md: https://github.com/aifinlab/FinClaw/blob/HEAD/skills/a-share-structural-break/SKILL.md

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First, summarize what it does, its dependencies, license status if identifiable, and any risks. Show the exact files you propose to add under .agents/skills/a-share-structural-break/. Do not write files or run scripts until I approve.

After I approve, install the complete skill folder, including required referenced files, into that project location. Verify it is discoverable, then tell me its actual invocation name and how to use it. Do not claim it is installed until you have verified it.

Copying this prompt does not install or run the skill. Review third-party files before use. Codex skill guide

A股结构变点检测/趋势拐点识别

数据源

SCRIPTS="$SKILLS_ROOT/cn-stock-data/scripts"
python "$SCRIPTS/cn_stock_data.py" kline --code [CODE] --freq daily --start [日期]
python "$SCRIPTS/cn_stock_data.py" quote --code [CODE]
python "$SCRIPTS/cn_stock_data.py" finance --code [CODE]

Workflow

Step 1: 获取K线时间序列

Step 2: 变点检测方法

  • CUSUM检验(累积和)
  • Chow检验(已知候选断点)
  • Bai-Perron多断点检验

Step 3: 断点前后对比

比较断点前后的均值/波动率/趋势斜率变化

Step 4: 归因分析

关联断点时间与重大事件(政策/业绩/市场)

Step 5: 输出

维度formalbrief
断点检测多方法+统计检验最近断点
前后对比均值/波动率变化趋势变了吗
归因事件关联分析可能原因
默认风格:brief。

关键规则

  1. 结构断点通常对应重大事件(政策/业绩/市场危机)
  2. 多种检验方法一致的断点更可靠
  3. 断点检测有事后偏差——实时判断更难
  4. 波动率断点往往先于均值断点
  5. 断点后的新均衡状态可能持续较长时间

使用示例

示例 1: 基本使用

# 调用 skill
result = run_skill({
    "param1": "value1",
    "param2": "value2"
})

示例 2: 命令行使用

python scripts/run_skill.py --input data.json