prospective-hindsight

Business

Strategy: Klein pre-mortem — assume the artifact has failed, then retrospect plausible causes. Generates rapid failure scenario catalog.

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Source SKILL.md: https://github.com/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/blob/HEAD/skills/prospective-hindsight/SKILL.md

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Prospective Hindsight Strategy

Assume the artifact has already failed. Retrospect: what went wrong?

Method

premortem-facilitation frames the failure assumption
Each participant generates independent failure scenarios
failure-mode-extraction structures raw scenarios into failure mode list
Scenarios are ranked by plausibility and severity
High-risk items feed into FMEA pipeline (premortem-to-fmea-pipeline tactic)

Budget Table

Parameter	S	M	L
Failure scenarios generated	8	20	40
Independent perspectives	2	4	6
Screening threshold (severity)	7	5	3

Orchestration

premortem-facilitation → failure-mode-extraction
  → severity-scoring (rapid screen)
  → [high-severity items] → premortem-to-fmea-pipeline

Subagents

premortem-facilitation (execute Klein protocol)
failure-mode-extraction (structure scenarios)
severity-scoring (rapid severity screen)

Available Tactics

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

Tactic	When to use
failure-chain-tracing	Tactic: Trace upstream causes and downstream effects of each failure mode. Builds multi-level cause-mode-effect chains for systemic understanding.
premortem-to-fmea-pipeline	Tactic: Pre-mortem rapid screening feeds high-risk items into full FMEA analysis. Bridges fast intuitive generation with systematic structured analysis.

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOP	When to use
failure-mode-extraction	Extract structured failure mode list from raw scenarios or artifact analysis. Produces standardized failure mode records.
premortem-facilitation	Execute Klein pre-mortem protocol — assume failure has occurred, generate plausible failure scenarios through prospective hindsight.
severity-scoring	Rate failure mode severity 1-10 based on end-effect impact. Follows AIAG-VDA severity scale calibrated for research artifacts.