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a-share-value-trap

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A股价值陷阱/低估值陷阱识别。当用户说"价值陷阱"、"value trap"、"低估值陷阱"、"便宜有道理"、"为什么一直不涨"时触发。量化识别低估值股票是否为价值陷阱。支持formal和brief风格。

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How to use this skill

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Prompt to paste
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Source SKILL.md: https://github.com/aifinlab/FinClaw/blob/HEAD/skills/a-share-value-trap/SKILL.md

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A股价值陷阱/低估值陷阱识别

数据源

SCRIPTS="$SKILLS_ROOT/cn-stock-data/scripts"
python "$SCRIPTS/cn_stock_data.py" kline --code [CODE] --freq daily --start [日期]
python "$SCRIPTS/cn_stock_data.py" quote --code [CODE]
python "$SCRIPTS/cn_stock_data.py" finance --code [CODE]

Workflow

Step 1: 获取财务+估值数据

Step 2: 低估值筛选

PE/PB低于行业均值的股票

Step 3: 价值陷阱信号检测

  • 盈利持续下滑（净利润连续2+季度下降）
  • 现金流恶化（经营现金流转负）
  • 行业衰退（行业整体PE中枢下移）
  • 治理风险（频繁并购/关联交易/变更审计师）
  • 技术性破位（长期均线空头排列）

Step 4: 价值vs陷阱评分

多维度打分判断是真便宜还是价值陷阱

Step 5: 输出

维度formalbrief
低估原因多维度分析主要原因
陷阱信号各信号检测结果陷阱概率
建议深度分析+建议买/避
默认风格：brief。

关键规则

  1. 低PE不等于便宜——盈利下滑会让PE先低后高
  2. 低PB不等于安全——资产减值会让账面净资产缩水
  3. 行业衰退是最大的价值陷阱来源
  4. '便宜有便宜的道理'——需找到低估的真正原因
  5. 价值投资需要催化剂——没有催化剂的低估可能持续很久

使用示例

示例 1: 基本使用

# 调用 skill
result = run_skill({
    "param1": "value1",
    "param2": "value2"
})

示例 2: 命令行使用

python scripts/run_skill.py --input data.json